The GavelMAINNETPOLLING
Protocol ↗
Curve Native

Curve shape

Geometric classification of the yield curve: NORMAL / INVERTED / HUMPED / FLAT.

Current

No current reading

Curve shape is derived from the Gavel curve, and no auction has settled on mainnet yet — so there is no reading to publish. It is computed and appears here automatically once the market produces the underlying data.

01 · Definition

What it measures

Geometric classification of the yield curve: NORMAL / INVERTED / HUMPED / FLAT.

Protocol-native signals derived from the canonical curve and credit surface fits.

02 · Methodology

How it is computed

From the log-quadratic regression rate = β₀ + β₁·ln(d) + β₂·ln(d)² fitted to bin means. NORMAL when β₂ ≈ 0 and β₁ > 0; INVERTED when β₁ < 0; HUMPED when β₂ < 0 with interior maximum (vertex_days reported); FLAT when both coefficients near zero. This reads the curvature of the fitted curve; the retired classifier compared observed bin endpoints instead, which is why the two could disagree about one fit.

Available windows: snapshot. Default: snapshot. The window is how far back the metric is computed over — "90d" means 90 days of history, not a 90-day instrument.

03 · Interpretation

How to read it

NORMAL is the default — lenders demand more for longer commitments. INVERTED is rare and suggests near-term volatility expectations exceeding long-term risk. HUMPED shows where peak rate sensitivity lives along the curve.

04 · Access

Use it programmatically

This indicator is available over the REST API and to AI agents over the Model Context Protocol. The methodology above is the whole of it — there is no proprietary adjustment layer between the inputs and the number.

Informational purposes only — not financial advice or a recommendation.

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