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Bitcoin On-chain · MVRV-Z

MVRV Z-Score

Market-cap vs. realised-cap, z-score normalised against a trailing 4-year history.

Current

Latest reading

0.6308

snapshot window. Baked at build time and refreshed live on load. Historical series and alternative windows are available over the API.

01 · Definition

What it measures

Market-cap vs. realised-cap, z-score normalised against a trailing 4-year history.

Network-level signals derived from the live UTXO set: valuation, holder distribution, profit-taking behaviour.

02 · Methodology

How it is computed

mvrv_z = (market_cap − realised_cap) / σ(market_cap − realised_cap, 1461d). Realised cap is sum(value_btc × created_price_usd) over the live UTXO set; market cap is spot × circulating supply. The 4-year window spans a full halving cycle, smoothing regime bias.

Available windows: snapshot. Default: snapshot.

03 · Interpretation

How to read it

Z > +2 historically marks cycle euphoria zones; Z < −1 marks capitulation. The signal is positional rather than directional — it tells you where in the cycle the market sits, not which way it's about to move.

04 · Access

Use it programmatically

This indicator is available over the REST API and to AI agents over the Model Context Protocol. The methodology above is the whole of it — there is no proprietary adjustment layer between the inputs and the number.

Informational purposes only — not financial advice or a recommendation.

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