The GavelMAINNETPOLLING
Protocol ↗
BTC / USD · class
Collateral
Loan denomination
These are USD rates, comparable to any other USD loan. Collateral is the other axis.

Auction

Fixed-term credit discovered by auction, oracle-free. The rate is set when borrower and lender clear, and never changes after.

fixed termfixed at originationauction-discovered
single-sided by construction — borrower's rate is lender's receipt

Yield curve — by time to maturity

FLAT · 11 active loans of 14 total. R² = 0.042.
Observations are currently predominantly own-account. Aletheia Analytics participates on own account to seed observable auction data. This is not yet an independent market assessment.
11 observations · 2 counterparties · 0% external
±RMSE
Active
Repaid
Defaulted
Lending:
0%2%4%6%7d14d1mo2mo3mo6mo1y2y5y7yn=1n=1n=3n=2n=2n=1n=1FLATR²=0.042Loan Duration (log scale)Rate (APR %)
Rates at Standard Tenors
Tenor
7d
14d
1mo
2mo
3mo
6mo
1y
2y
5y
7y
Auction
5.07%
5.07%
5.09%
5.14%
5.18%
5.26%
5.38%
5.52%
5.74%
5.83%
US Treasury
3.79%
3.91%
4.02%
4.07%
4.25%
4.40%
4.54%
Curve Fit Quality
0.0421
RMSE
0.512%
Data Points
11
Shape
Flat
rate = 5.221 -0.128·ln(d) + 0.026·ln(d)²
Residuals (actual − fitted)
Chart Legend
Current fitted yield curve
Confidence band (±1 RMSE = ±0.51%)
Canonical bin means (±1σ error bars)
Fit extrapolated beyond 1y(no loans at those tenors yet)
Active loans(11)
Repaid loans(3)
Benchmarks
US Treasury
Canonical yield curve: active loans binned into standard tenors, log-quadratic fit through bin means. Shape: FLAT.
Access yield curve data via API · GET /v1/yield-curve · GET /v1/yield-curve/history
solid = observed span · dashed = fitted extension, both directions
Auction
11 · R² 0.04 · LIVE_BAR unmet — 3 of 30 settled auctions

Rate history — by date

Range:
Auction
Reference
Basis · 0d
0%1%2%3%4%5%May 7May 22Jun 6Jun 21Jul 6Jul 21Aug 5US 10Y TreasuryRate (APR %)
matched basis · borrow solid, lend muted
VenueMechanismObserved spanObservationsCounterparties
The Gavel Protocolauction_discovered7d–1y112
quality
The Gavel Protocol
Fill rate, failure rate, bid depth, settled-versus-active book, and the venue’s forward curve under its data-sufficiency bar.
The figures behind this panel are read live and are not part of the static copy of this page. What is held behind each input, and what is not, is stated with them.
0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending0 active · 0 loans · Oracle-free lending